Each week on Thursdays, I will be posting my Bracketology and Bubble.

*Filled in with red are the play in games*

*The first team of each seed plays the first team in the opposing seed, for example seed 1-1 will play seed 16-1 as seed 8-4 will play seed 9-4*

Also this week, I skipped Power Rankings and Mid Major Top 25 for a reason. Below, after the Bracketology and Bubble will be teams still alive, and a percentage chance they have to get a tournament bid without winning their conference tournament. Lastly, I just want to let everyone know that this Sunday the 11th will be the first release of the Top 16 seeds by the tournament committee.

Bracketology

Z Pretz Bracketology Week 12

Bubble (With Percentage to Make It In)

  • Last 4 Byes: Kansas State (65%), Missouri (64%), USC (57%), Louisville (56%).
  • Last 4 In: Texas (55%), Boise State (51%), Nebraska (50%), St Bonavnture (50%).
  • First 4 Out: Florida State (49%), Arkansas (47%), Penn State (46%), Syracuse (45%)
  • Next 4 Out: Notre Dame (44%), Marquette (44%), Oregon (39%), WKU(38%).

Teams Remaining Above 5%

  • SMU (35%)
  • Oklahoma State (35%)
  • TCU (34%)
  • Temple (33%)
  • Tulsa (33%)
  • LSU (32%)
  • Northwestern (30%)
  • Baylor (25%)
  • BC (25%)
  • Maryland (25%)
  • UCF (23%)
  • Stanford (20%)
  • Utah (20%)
  • Old Dominion (17%)
  • Colorado (15%)
  • Davidson (10%)
  • Georgia State (8%)
  • Memphis (6%)

A few teams have a slim chance, but would have to win out in the regular season: Iowa State, Oregon State, Georgia, South Carolina, Duquesne, VCU, Indiana, Minnesota, Tulane and St Johns.