Each week on Thursdays, I will be posting my Bracketology and Bubble.
*Filled in with red are the play in games*
*The first team of each seed plays the first team in the opposing seed, for example seed 1-1 will play seed 16-1 as seed 8-4 will play seed 9-4*
Also this week, I skipped Power Rankings and Mid Major Top 25 for a reason. Below, after the Bracketology and Bubble will be teams still alive, and a percentage chance they have to get a tournament bid without winning their conference tournament. Lastly, I just want to let everyone know that this Sunday the 11th will be the first release of the Top 16 seeds by the tournament committee.
Bubble (With Percentage to Make It In)
- Last 4 Byes: Kansas State (65%), Missouri (64%), USC (57%), Louisville (56%).
- Last 4 In: Texas (55%), Boise State (51%), Nebraska (50%), St Bonavnture (50%).
- First 4 Out: Florida State (49%), Arkansas (47%), Penn State (46%), Syracuse (45%)
- Next 4 Out: Notre Dame (44%), Marquette (44%), Oregon (39%), WKU(38%).
Teams Remaining Above 5%
- SMU (35%)
- Oklahoma State (35%)
- TCU (34%)
- Temple (33%)
- Tulsa (33%)
- LSU (32%)
- Northwestern (30%)
- Baylor (25%)
- BC (25%)
- Maryland (25%)
- UCF (23%)
- Stanford (20%)
- Utah (20%)
- Old Dominion (17%)
- Colorado (15%)
- Davidson (10%)
- Georgia State (8%)
- Memphis (6%)
A few teams have a slim chance, but would have to win out in the regular season: Iowa State, Oregon State, Georgia, South Carolina, Duquesne, VCU, Indiana, Minnesota, Tulane and St Johns.